Commentaries

Targeted Elimination of Hassan Nasrallah: Strategic Deployment of Technology in Modern Day Counterterrorism

AJEY LELE
October 01, 2024

Israel faced a major setback on October 7, 2023, when Hamas-led Palestinian militant groups launched a successful attack. After this successful terror attack, many questions were raised concerning Israeli technological superiority and robust defence mechanisms in place. Despite Israel's technological superiority, Hamas managed to bypass these defences. The issue likely wasn't with the technology itself; the surveillance systems along the Israel-Palestine border were reportedly functioning as expected. The problem lay with the leadership, which ignored intelligence gathered from these systems. Israeli military leaders had wrongly assumed that Hamas would not attempt a physical cross-border attack, leading to a dangerous complacency, overconfidence and misjudgement.

Strategic Use of Weapons and Technology

On September 27, 2024, a devastating airstrike by the Israeli air force killed the Hezbollah (Party of God) leader Hassan Nasrallah. This killing is all about the correct use of firepower based on very accurate intelligence inputs. This goes on to prove that if Technology gets used intelligently, then success is almost guaranteed. The bombs used in the airstrike over Beirut were American-made guided weapons, the 900 kg Mark 84 series bombs, commonly known as bunker-busters. Usually, such guided munitions belong to the category of JDAMs (Joint Direct Attack Munitions). These bombs were able to penetrate the heavily fortified hideouts of Hezbollah. These are GPS-directed and, hence, highly accurate bombs. After eliminating Nasrallah, the Israel Defence Forces (IDF) are now on a killing spree and have already eliminated various other Hezbollah and Hamas commanders. At least seven Hezbollah commanders were killed in a week.

Hezbollah was established primarily to fight the 1982 Israeli invasion of Lebanon. Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah headed this terror outfit from 1992 onwards. He was instrumental in making Hezbollah a strong military force and was responsible for inducting long-range rockets into its arsenal. Israel was on the lookout for his whereabouts for some time now. Finally, they could eliminate him due to a years-long operation by their intelligence agencies. They had succeeded in penetrating his organizational network. The IDF was looking for an opportune moment to eliminate him.

History shows that Israel always goes after the leaders of the terror groups. Two decades back, on March 22, 2004, they had killed Sheikh Ahmed Ismail Hassan Yassin, who was the founder of Hamas. To kill this leader, who uses a wheelchair, Israeli forces used an AH-64 Apache helicopter gunship, which fired Hellfire missiles towards him, which ended up killing him and his two bodyguards. Israel required intelligence inputs about the time and direction in which he moves to visit the mosque for prayers. Just before the attack, Israeli F-16 jets flew above the mosque area to obscure the noise of the approaching helicopters. After his death, Hamas declared Abdel-Aziz Al-Rantissi as his successor. Israel did assassinate him, too, within one month. Israel fully understands that going after the Hamas leadership did not help them to eradicate that organization. Still, they are going after Hezbollah leadership. This could be possibly for 'optics' and for having some short-term gains. The leadership vacuum in Hezbollah may help them mount a land offensive immediately. It is known that Hezbollah is a very potent force, and it may turn suicidal for Israel to launch any land offensive without proper intelligence and a somewhat favourable situation on the ground in Lebanon. Probably, by launching major air assaults to kill the leadership, Israel is softening the targets. Such attacks have led to the partial destruction of Hezbollah's ground infrastructure and command and control facilities. This may make it easier for ground invasion.

Precision Strikes and Deep Infiltration

The killing of Nasrallah could also be linked to the sophisticated tactics employed by Israel's renowned intelligence agency, Mossad. In a recent operation, Mossad was reportedly behind a series of coordinated explosions in Lebanon, where thousands of Hezbollah's pagers and Walkie-talkie sets were triggered to detonate simultaneously. This precision suggests a deep infiltration of Hezbollah's communications infrastructure, leveraging technology for targeted disruptions. Mossad has a long history of using innovative methods to track and eliminate threats. The seamless integration of advanced technological tools with on-the-ground operations, like the one potentially behind Nasrallah's assassination, illustrates Israel's growing capabilities in asymmetric warfare. This success underscores the reliance on cutting-edge surveillance and cyber tools and the intelligence community's deep expertise in understanding and exploiting vulnerabilities in hostile networks.

During the 2006 war, Israel tried to kill Nasrallah multiple times but without any success. It is said that since then, Israel's Military Intelligence Directorate has started developing a structure to collect the required intelligence for penetrating Hezbollah hideouts. Over the years, the Israeli intelligence network has become stronger with the induction of modern technology gadgets. They worked on a significant amount of audio, video, and other technical data inputs (possibly human intelligence) to identify patterns in various activities carried out by Nasrallah and his network. They have compiled extensive profiles of Hezbollah's operatives. It appears that major hacking efforts were in place to penetrate Hezbollah's communication networks. Even the mobile devices of the leadership's relatives (wife, kids, etc) were monitored. Where possible, hacking of surveillance cameras was undertaken, and there was also a watch on the movement of the vehicles used by the terror leadership. It was known that the destruction of underground structures would be required, and hence, the correct use of air power was planned to reach Nasrallah's hideout, which was 60 to 80 feet underground.

Conclusions

The death of Nasrallah marks a significant milestone in the IDF's ongoing efforts to neutralize high-value targets in its counterterrorism operations. This operation highlights Israel's ability to combine intelligence-gathering capabilities with tactical precision on the ground effectively. The real-time sharing of intelligence data with combat units proved crucial to the mission's success. However, rather than depending solely on technology, the IDF's strength lay in its intelligent use of technology-driven insights, ensuring that human decision-making remained at the core of its strategy. This balance of technological sophistication and operational execution underscores the IDF's evolving approach to modern warfare.

Author Note
Group Captain (Retd.) Dr. Ajey Lele, Deputy Director General, The Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA), New Delhi. Views are personal.